July 7, 2012
Topic: Future Studies
Title: Creativity and the Future - Part 2
Presenter: David Keenan
Abstract: Recent discoveries about how people are more or less creative, as discussed by Jonah Lehrer in his book 'Imagine: How Creativity Works' and what application of these ideas could mean for the future.
Presentation: HO-Creativity and the Future-ptII MNF-07jul12.ppt
Audio: MNF D Keenan Creativity Futures II Together 7Jul12.WMA
July 10, 2012 Tuesday
MNF Board Meeting
6:30 - 8:30 pm
July 14, 2012
Topic: Economic Futures
Title: The Disintegration and Reconstruction of America
Presenter: Jack Carter
Abstract: The Disintegration and Reconstruction of America-2.pdf
Opening Video: Excerpt from new HBO Series "The Newsroom" http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article31810.htm Jeff Daniels speaking in character - 3:30 min, caution, some strong language.
Recommended book: "Winner Take All Politics: How Washington Made the Rich Richer--and Turned Its Back on the Middle Class by Jacob S. Hacker, 2010
http://www.amazon.com/Winner-Take-All-Politics-Washington-Richer-Turned/dp/1416588698 and http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Winner-Take-All_Politics_(book)
Recommended text: The Powell Memo http://reclaimdemocracy.org/corporate_accountability/powell_memo_lewis.html
Source for Tax Rates: Corporate and Individual by country (David K) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_tax_rates
July 21, 2012
Topic: Technology Futures
Title: Abundance - part 2 - The Workshop
Presenter: Hank Lederer
Abstract: follow up from last month - bring your examples
Video: review http://www.ted.com/talks/peter_diamandis_abundance_is_our_future.html 16 minutes
July 28, 2012
Title: Potential Breakthrough Innovations in Human Relationships/Leadership/Governance - Part 2 - US Education and Families
Presenter: Bill Peter
Abstract: From 10am to 10:45am Bill will cover “Historic trends to date” and “Lessons from history”. From 10:45am to 11:30am Bill will facilitate a group discussion of “Possible futures, likely futures, and preferred futures” on each of five topics
- 1. The changing structure of the US family
- 2. Worldwide competitiveness/Universities/K-12
- 3. Examples of excellence/changes in market share
- 4. Barriers to innovation
- 5. Technological aids to education innovation
Presentation & Workshop Results MNF Breakthrough Innovations in Human Relationships pt 2 Education.ppt
Education Futures - July 28, 2012
Aug 4, 2012
Topic: Future Studies
Title: The Role of Weak Signals in Futures Studies—Indicators of trends or precursors, rationalized constructs, or simply random patterns?
Presenter: George Kubik
Abstract: Weak signals have historically constituted a major aspect of futures studies. However, weak signals are often poorly defined and understood by users (including consultants and researchers). Typically, weak signals denote the presence of relevant information in the present that connects the past with the future in value-adding ways. While weak signals are characteristically regarded as incomplete and fragmented data, they are also considered to be valuable raw information for enabling anticipatory action.
Descriptors such as “emerging signals of change,” “noisy trend information,” “situated indicators of the future,” and “low visibility precursors” are often used. But, are weak signals objective phenomena? Can they be empirically derived and tested? Or, are they primarily constructs that rationalize connections between perceptions of the past and future?
Join us as we explore this crucial and challenging aspect of futures studies. Specifically, we will examine weak signal characteristics and uses, and differentiate them from “wild cards” and “scenarios.” We will also discuss the role of experts and interpreters in weak signal recognition and application. As always, we encourage the open exchange of ideas and experiences among participants. We hope to see you here!
Reference: Weak Signals Learning in Organizational Futures Thesis by Elina Hiltunen, PhD, Helsinki School
Aug 11, 2012
Topic: Economic Futures
Title: 1982 vs 2012 and the Future
Presenter: TBA
Abstract: Between 1982 and 2000 the US stock market rose 270% more than average. Why? Will that continue or not? And what does it all mean for the next 10-20 years of economic and market conditions?
Aug 18, 2012
Topic: Technology Futures
Title: Doc Watson and the Future of Machine Intelligence
Presenter: Eric Hand
Presentation: MNF 18Aug12 - E Hand Watson and Kin.docx
Aug 25, 2012
Title: Potential Breakthrough Innovations in Human Relationships/Leadership/Governance - Part 3 - US Healthcare
Presenter: Bill Peter
Abstract: From 10am to 10:45am Bill will cover “Historic trends to date” and “Lessons from history”. From 10:45am to 11:30am Bill will facilitate a group discussion of “Possible futures, likely futures, and preferred futures” on each of five topics
- 1. The Obamacare debate
- 2. Changes in the last 60 years
- 3. Individual responsibility
- 4. 17% of GNP
- 5. Huge and dysfunctional bureaucracy
of Economics http://hsepubl.lib.hse.fi/pdf/diss/a365.pdf 281pages in English
Graphics http://mnfuturist2011.pbworks.com/w/page/56556798/Weak%20Signals
Sept. 1, 2012 - No Meeting - Enjoy a picnic
Sept 8, 2012 - Futures Forum
Presenters: members
Moderator: David Keenan
An opportunity to catch up on futures related news items - 5-15 minutes each.
MNF-leadin08sep12.ppt Lead-in plus Futures Forum slides
Sept 15, 2012 - Technology Futures
Title: Photons, Bosons and Gluons, Oh My: An Introduction to Particle Physics and the Higgs Boson
Presenters: Brian Toren and Hank Lederer
Abstract - Join Hank and I in this meeting as we delve into particle physics, specifically the Higgs boson, what led up to its discovery and what that all means. The meeting consists of three parts: an introduction and history and discovery of particles and what they do; a video of an interview with Brian Green and Michael Tuts on the Higgs boson led by Charlie Rose; and finally, what it means for the future of research, new discoveries, processes & products. What marvels may await us in 2100: anti-gravity, new energy sources, and dare I say it, time travel. Come and let you imaginations run wild.
This is too large a PowerPoint to put on our Wiki, so I will be bringing some CDs with the presentation on them to hand out.
Scale of the Universe 2 (interactive tool by Cary Huang) http://htwins.net/scale2/
Brian Greene and Michal Tuts of Columbia on the discovery of the Higgs Boson - interviewed by Charlie Rose - July 09, 2012 video 30 min http://www.charlierose.com/view/interview/12443
Bosons.pdf
Sept 18, 2012 - MNF Board Meeting
Tuesday evening 6:30 - 8:30 pm - 5th Floor conference room - watch for signs
8120 Penn Ave So., Bloomington, MN
Sept 22, 2012 - Society, Management & Education Futures
Title: Breakthrough Innovations in Human Relations - Government
Presenter: Bill Peter
Abstract: coming soon
Sept 29, 2012 - Peace Futures
Title: Can Crucial Conversations Replace Violence
Presenter: Roger Rydberg
Creative+Conversations.pdf
Nonviolent Communication - From Wikipedia,
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nonviolent_Communication
Scilla Elworthy: Fighting with non-violence
There is need of extensive campaign to spread the utility of non violence because in the long run it is a win- win situation for all.
http://www.ted.com/talks/scilla_elworthy_fighting_with_non_violence.html
Charlie Rose- Kofi Annan
http://www.charlierose.com/view/interview/12541
The former U.N.Secretary-General Kofi Annan recounts his time at the head of the international organization. He discusses his tenure and subsequent work in international relations with BBC America's Katty Kay.
http://www.c-spanvideo.org/program/Kof
Kofi Annan Comdy Central
http://www.thedailyshow.com/full-episodes/mon-september-17-2012-kofi-annan
Social media 'flash mobs' a new method of nonviolent protest
http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/social-media-flash-mobs-new-method-nonviolent-protest
Flash Mob - Beethoven’s “Ode to Joy”
http://www.openculture.com/2012/07/beethovens_ode_to_joy_flashmobbed.html
Flash Mob Supporting Peace One Day Sept 21
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7ZfUOBkT5SI&feature=fvwrel
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GEIpeL5xxtQ
Peace Day 2012 - Gangnam Style Flash Mob
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YFc1f6Ps6eE
Aung San Suu Kyi, Burma's Revolutionary Leader- The Power of Buddhism in Peaceful Protests
http://www.smithsonianmag.com/people-places/Aung-San-Suu-Kyi-Burmas-Revolutionary-Leader-165590706.html
Oct 6, 2012 - Future Studies
Title: Positive Deviance
Presenter: George Kubik
Abstract: In every community there are certain individuals whose uncommon practices/behaviors enable them to fund better solutions to difficult problems. Discover how to find "invisible" solutions in your midst.
References: "The Power of Positive Deviance: How Unlikely Innovators Solve the World's Toughest Problems" by Richard Pascale, Jerry Sternin, Monique Sternin http://www.amazon.com/Power-Positive-Deviance-Unlikely-Innovators/dp/1422110664
"Democritizing Innovation" by Eric Von Hippel free download available http://mit.edu/evhippel/www/books.htm
"The 100th Monkey" story http://www.examiner.com/article/monkey-see-monkey-do (David K)
Oct 13, 2012 - Technology Futures
Title: Future Forums - Technology Edition
Presenter: David Keenan
Abstract: Selection of short articles from nanotechnology and rapid prototyping
Presentation: MNF-leadin13oct12.ppt Opening remarks plus today's talk
Oct 20, 2012 - Economy and Finance Futures
Title: Recession & Deleveraging: The Future of Debt
Presenter: Bob Kaufman
Ref:
More from Casey Research
Lacy Hunt: "No Increase in Standard of Living Since 1997"
http://www.caseyresearch.com/articles/lacy-hunt-no-increase-standard-living-1997
A Conversation with Ray Dalio
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SFaRazMpxcM
Andrew McAfee: Are droids taking our jobs?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SFaRazMpxcM
Oct 27, 2012 - Society Management & Education Futures
Title: Breakthrough Innovations in Human Relations - Business
Presenter: Bill Peter
Abstract: Bill Peter has completed four workshops this year on “Potential Breakthrough Innovations in Human Relationships/Leadership/Governance”. In this talk, he will conduct the fifth and last workshop of this series in 2012
1. Why were Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae not “fixed”? What are the alternatives?
2. The history of the highest corporate income tax rates in the world, consequences, and alternatives.
3. Changing the double taxation on profits earned outside the USA
4. Incentives for new businesses by selective state initiatives (eg. South Carolina)
5. Alternative routes to worldwide competitiveness of USA businesses
Nov 3, 2012 - Future Studies
Title: Exploring the Future--The Internet of Things
Presenter: George Kubik
Abstract:
Join us this Saturday as we explore “The Internet of Things.” Sometimes called The Internet of Objects, this emerging technology refers to the rapidly expanding number of wireless networks that connect objects with people, and with other objects. These interconnected devices include objects embedded in buildings, vehicles, streets, and household appliances. They are located throughout our built and natural environments. The networks connecting us with these devices are wireless, increasingly reconfigurable, and often exhibit smart attributes. IoT networks progressively employ the largest of all networks…the Internet, for global communication. Our discussion this Saturday promises to be extremely lively as we examine this new form of communication between people and things, and between things themselves.
Nov 10, 2012
Topic: Economic Futures
Title: Globalization
Presenter: Steve Troutman
Abstract: First we will define globalization. We will look at the history of globalization and we will review the pros and cons of globalization theory. We will review the different perspectives inherent in the globalization (i.e. the globalizer and the globalizee). We will look into the impacts of globalization on people, on businesses, on institutions, and on nations, in the past and into the present day. Finally, we will consider three future scenarios from our current worldwide globalization, and discuss the implications they represent and what might be necessary to mitigate them.
Presentation: Globalization 2012-11-10.ppt
Ref: http://www.ted.com/conversations/topics/globalization
Nov 17, 2012
Topic: Technology Futures
Title: Ocean Futures
Presenter: Hank Lederer
Presentation: A review of this years Nobel Conference
Ref:
Noble Conference http://news.blog.gustavus.edu/2012/10/09/nobel-conference-presentations-now-available-online/
Kathleen Moore http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K3GpQu0IpmM&feature=player_embedded#!
David Gallo http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KF1WecOyWm8&feature=player_embedded
Nov 24, 2012
Topic: Society Management & Education Futures
Title: Future Cities
Presenters: Hank Lederer & David Keenan
Abstract: In response to a request, we will present new information and recap ideas from previous talks about some ideas for city planning and introduce several examples and thought leaders. We anticipate a lively discussion.
Dec 1, 2012
Topic: Economic Futures
Title: After Election forecast for the "Economic Cliff"
Presenter: Jim Zitek
Abstract: Now that the politicians have blown $6 billion (using a tax deduction loophole) to talk about which candidate cares more about condoms and a woman’s reproductive rights, its time to talk about the Fiscal Cliff or the straw man they created last year so they could maintain the status quo through the election.
Is there a Fiscal Cliff? Have we already gone off the cliff? Will a $100 billion or 1.4% cut in government spending destroy the economy when we are spending $3.5 trillion? Or when the Treasury sold $260 billion in bonds on the Friday after thanks giving? Or the $2 trillion plus we need to add to the debt ceiling by the end of the year?
Attendee Poll - Do you forecast US will go over the Fiscal Cliff? Results: Yes 50% No 50%
Also see: Gauging the Fiscal Cliff - an info graphic http://ljpr.com/GaugingTheFiscalCliff1.pdf (David K)
Dec 8, 2012
Topic: Future Studies
Title: The Future of Large Number Analytics
Presenter: George Kubik
Abstract:
Dec 15, 2012
Topic: Technology Futures
Title: Futures - Demographics
Presenter: Hank Lederer
Abstract:
U.S. Pop 2005-2050 PEW.odp
Demogaphics on Race 2005 to 2050.pdf
Education Education Demographics.pptx
Birth Rates http://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2012/11/29/immigrant-women-lead-recent-drop-in-u-s-births-and-birth-rates/
Religion: U.S. Demographic
http://www.nationaljournal.com/thenextamerica/statistics/religion-u-s-demographic-snapshot-20120719
Dec 22, 2012
Topic: Society, Management & Education Futures
Title: Negotiation for Futurists
Presenter: Bill Peter
Abstract: Bill will present five examples of Win-Win-Win negotiation. After Q&A, the group will discuss additional opportunities to apply these techniques.
Introduction: MNF-leadin22dec12.ppt
Presentation: HO Negotiations for Futurists 22dec12.ppt
Dec 29, 2012 - Peace Futures
Title: What Is The Next Scenario For Syria?
Presenter: Roger Rydberg
Ref :Syria Conflict Dec29PeaceSig.pdf
Have a Safe and Happy New Year
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